Vibe Check (part 1)
Of Dual Sovereign Conflict
With the realities of extreme ideological divides bringing the term “enemy” to the lips of citizens in describing half their countrymen we must anticipate a very different looking future. This future is highly likely to be marked out by the entrenchment of a permanent political warfare regime that will include actions – mostly sub-full kinetic conflict – spanning all domains within and between states, and between states and the federal government. This is now the default future. It is no longer some anomaly we can hope to avoid. In one manner or another it is already here.
You see, civilizations with diametrically opposed worldviews cannot live next to one another within the same political entity. They will battle it out. They will claw, cheat, steal, lie, and obfuscate to spread their own ways (as culture does naturally), and when it comes down to it, they will go to war. This is the folly of multiculturalism: it is impossible. You can have people of all shapes, sizes, colors, intelligences, and abilities but you cannot have vastly different metaphysics and ethics in direct contact. To date much of America has been seized by the burgeoning Marxian metaphysic of social constructivism, structural determinism, and paganistic spirits (History, Progress, Ethnic, Gendered, Sexual, etc). There are, however, some of us left clinging (bitterly, I’m told) to the worldview of Americanism – that of our Anglo-Saxon, common-law heritage, and Reformation metaphysic. There’s no use arguing for a third way; the die has already been cast.
It would be an impossibility to predict with perfect certainty what, precisely, this will look like. However, setting aside the remote possibility of an unchallenged leftist total victory – in which the left comes to dominate all states, regions, industries, and culture without a mass of resistance ever being achieved – it will certainly mean hostilities between various dual sovereigns. We’ve already seen early stages of this with official travel prohibitions being put in place by many leftist governments applicable to certain rightist political regions in response to the exercise of sovereign political authority, and as a sort of soft sanction. It must be expected that this trend will continue on an escalatory spiral.
Escalating tensions and various actions between the sovereigns will have significant effects on each sovereign that will vary dramatically by geography, political bent, domestic production, infrastructure, culture, presence of natural resources, and military/militia dimensions. Here we will seek to explore some of these concerns, game-out some scenarios, and try to nail down some concrete actions that states might look to take before, and as escalation occurs to minimize disruptive impacts of the worst kind and minimize casualties.
On the forefront of needs for any sovereign is access to resources of water, energy, and food. The past two years should have at the very least instructed us to not take these things for granted. The breakdowns in supply chains resultant from tyrannical Covid lockdowns produced gaps in resources for the first time in the lives of many Americans. We should not allow a normalcy bias to lull us into thinking these resources will be secure in the future (or any resource for that matter), or that other American sovereigns would not seek to exploit or disrupt resources in an asymmetric fashion as relations deteriorate.
Water is, for obvious reasons, the highest on the list of necessities. If we take the actions of the Ukraine conflict over the last decade to heart, we should look to the troubles of Crimea: after being detached politically from Ukraine by Russian “little green men” Ukraine simply shut off the flow of fresh water to the region, and in doing created a dramatically difficult problem for Russia to solve just to keep the population alive. It must not be assumed that a future conflict within the United States would not also utilize such forms of geologic warfare. As such it would behoove individual states to, immediately, begin evaluating their domestic (within state) water resources, assessing their vulnerabilities, and shoring up any deficiencies. Absolutely do not put it past aggrieved blue states to literally move mountains to disrupt flows should this escalatory cycle unfold.
On the topic of moving mountains, it appears that in the Ukraine conflict the Ukrainian side has, on multiple occasions, detonated geography and dams to cause water flows to block the enemy advance. Such considerations should also be made for state geography and infrastructure that might be similarly vulnerable, or useful, under varied circumstances, and to plan for the perpetual defense against asymmetric attack.
To the topic of energy resources, it would be of the utmost utility to immediately, and rapidly begin fielding modern nuclear technology well within state/regional borders and evaluating the grid for vulnerabilities. Current power generating assets should be evaluated for vulnerabilities to include sabotage, cyber threats, kinetic attack, and the availability of fuel sources within state/regional borders, and with friendly, or potentially friendly nations. With this it should be noted that a scenario seeing the devolution of the United States into perpetual low-intensity conflict and asymmetric sovereign warfare that current US allies may not be aligned with your particular state or region and flows of goods may be cutoff, as a multipolar world order sees not one, but two or more polarities just of the United States itself, with others likely being represented by China and Europe.
Save for Texas, the entire continental United States shares an electric grid. It should be expected that, if possible, electric and petroleum flows from out of state could be cut in any escalatory spiral mirroring what we already see happening in Europe in response to sanctions against Russia. Steps should be taken, and plans developed, to power a statewide, or region-wide grid domestically (within state/region) that cannot be disrupted from without the state/region. Further, steps should be taken to ensure the continued availability in-state of petroleum products: gas, oil, diesel, etc., and any necessary infrastructure projects should begin forthwith.
Agriculture, being significantly centralized in the United States to certain regions, presents a large challenge. Those states without significant current agricultural capacity, and reason to be concerned about being cut-off from supplies currently centralized outside their borders, should take measures to expand domestic agriculture substantially – this should absolutely include encouraging citizens to plant yearly “victory” gardens with which to supplement their diets, and home-based animal husbandry in even moderately rural areas. Regions such as the northeast would feel the brunt of such an impact with a human population that so vastly exceeds carrying capacity of local ecology and agriculture.
States with substantial agricultural production domestically should take measures to secure the necessary inputs to continue high-efficiency production (to include local production of fertilizers where feasible), and also make contingency plans for significantly reduced production in the face of possible embargoes and supply-chain breakages. It is foreseeable that the future is one where food diplomacy will be possible for high-production regions, but expect that adversarial political entities will seek to damage such efforts wherever possible.
Sea-based agriculture and fishing activities represent a significant source of calories for certain areas, and disruptions to this must be anticipated as highly likely, and highly damaging. The seas, being significantly more difficult to police, and significantly grayer in terms of sovereignty, may well once again become the playground of pirates and privateers. It wouldn’t be too much to suggest that states may go so far as to issue Letters of Marque against vessels from adversarial states.
Financial and currency concerns will be a significant obstacle going forward. It’s also an obstacle that I am not qualified to pontificate on in any detail. However, I will say this: the US dollar cannot be relied upon so long as the Federal Reserve remains, and Central Bank Digital Currencies are a tool of the devil. This means sovereigns will need to seriously look at minting their own currencies or adopting some sort of cryptocurrency.
Immigration is already being used as a blunt instrument with which to beat oppositional states through the multiple efficacies of transforming the electoral map, stressing welfare budgets, driving wages down, and driving crime up. Expect that under elevated hostilities immigration will continue to be used as a weapon, but with a sharper edge. Look to what has occurred all across Europe over the last decade to see the migration of subversives and enemies into local population where no-go zones were established, geographies became ruled by Sharia law, and discontent swelled into conflicts. Picture that future here, but mixed with the Satanism, butchery and barbarity of Mexican cartels, as they take over any geographic territory not prepared to handle the wolves with a bullet, and with the blessing, and support of, adversarial sovereigns.
Thus concludes part one of this vibe check for the several states. As you sit there wondering, “is he serious,” know that not only am I serious, but what may appear extreme today I suspect will be viewed as mere half-measures in one year.