Situation Update
Midterm Elections and More
Firstly, in my last article I made mention of a scandalous circumstance I happened across in research that will shortly play out. That remains the case, but I’ve continued pulling threads and there’s still some sweater there to get to. I have made the judgement call that it doesn’t much matter if the issue comes to the fore this week or in a couple more weeks, so I’m continuing to pull to get the best possible picture of things. A small hint at what’s to come: all appearances are of a pay-to-play type situation that explains a betrayal of the GOP voter base. I’ve also had the misfortune of seemingly every water-bearing appliance in my home exploding simultaneously, so I’m balancing far too many things presently, including some impromptu repairs and remodeling.
The thing I would like to talk to you about today, however, is the reality of the upcoming elections. I’d like to try to speak on one hand as an objective analyst, but also as a candidate with skin in the game. As of present the picture is not nearly so pretty as I would like. On the national stage the confluence of information operations has served to demoralize and sever large chunks of would-be GOP voters from the sure-thing column. Those ops seem to significantly flow from remnant Soviet United Front organizations (significantly aided by “antiwar” Libertarian orgs), the influence of the Muslim Brotherhood, Qatar, etc, the rising “nationalist” sentiment from the south driven in large part by Marxists and cartels that find themselves in the crosshairs of America’s new national security strategy (think Venezuela, Mexico, Brazil, etc) being pitted against “American Imperialism,” and, of course, China.
The result is the most fractured-demographically American nation I’ve ever witnessed. Along all fronts, from rural to urban, from racial to ancestral nation, from creedal (religious) to social, from class to age, and on and on. The effect is a massive resorting of political alignment and, also importantly, political dropout (including dropout by 3rd party). This resorting of the demos, with each now looking for new demagogues to rise to champion their particular cause, is the playground of democratic politics and, therefore, of the Democratic party. This is a major structural disadvantage for republican politics and properly republican politicians. It means, at a minimum, depressed turnout.
This democratic sorting isn’t the only harbinger of depressed turnout for the GOP in the midterms. Not at all. The homegrown effects of foreign and domestic policy – even that which will likely bear fruit eventually, but not in time for midterms – include gas pushing towards $5/gallon, increased electric prices from the data-center explosion, likely significant food inflation to hit later this year due to a significant reduction in fertilizer caused by the Iran war, and the gains trailing a litany of very good domestic deregulation likely not arriving until 2027 or later.
Then there’s the endless capacity for the GOP to demoralize their own base by refusing to enact the overwhelming majority of their own party platform when in power. From the federal failure to pass sweeping elections security reforms, hamstringing of efforts to combat Leftwing revolutionary terrorism, and on and on to the local failure of GOP legislation such as protection of women and girls being serially vetoed by the NH governor, the refusal to roll-back Wokeism by any but the tiniest increment at a time, and the GOP Senate serial-killing of good gun bills, education reform, and more.
The reality is a bit ugly, but I am absolutely not trying to demoralize you. I’m giving you enough notice so that you can help drive turnout. You may ask “why would I want to do that when the GOP keeps stabbing me in the back?” That would be a very fair question. My answer would be this: look at the GOP of 20 years ago, of 3 years ago, and of today. The speed at which gains are being made is not only accelerating, it’s practically logarithmic. The time of the old guard is nearly at an end. The establishment is in its death throes. Me and others like me, and there’s no better example than Trump himself, have and are moving the GOP to the Right faster than you think. The question still remains of whether it will be fast enough to stave off disaster, but the race is, in fact, on.
So, get involved. Help out with campaigns. Get involved with your local GOP committee, and if it happens to be full of cucks bring a half-dozen friends and take it over now while there’s still time to impact the election cycle. If you don’t have time to donate consider donating of cold, hard cash. It’s an ugly reality of democratic politics that you must swing so many votes of the generally disconnected via the flashing lights of commercials before their eyes, but a democratic system is what we have, so it’s what we must presently work within if we wish to win.
I expect, for myself, this will be the most competitive race of my political career thus far. Circumstances are aligning for a significant depression of GOP turnout. I’m hoping that will also be met by a depressed Democratic turnout, which may come to pass if polling numbers are correct (they’re historically unpopular). This all means that I’m going to have to work harder than ever before to make sure I don’t cede what should be a secure Republican seat in the NH House. It’s going to take signs, digital ads, and more. If you feel inclined to contribute to my efforts I would be much obliged: MikeBelcher4NH.com.